Marine Le Pen leads the voting in the first round of the presidential election, with 25.5% to 26%, ahead of Emmanuel Macron (22% to 23.5%), who would beat her in the second round. That’s according to a Elabe poll for BFMTV and L’Express released on Wednesday, 8th of February.
François Fillon (Republicans) is in third place (17% to 18%), ahead of the Socialist Benoît Hamon (15% to 15.5%) and the candidate of Unsubmissive France, Jean-Luc Mélenchon (12% to 13 %).
These results are calculated with an application from François Bayrou for the first number, and without him for the second. The centrist receives 5% of the voting intentions.
In the second round, Emmanuel Macron (En Marche!) would beat Marine Le Pen (National Front) with 63% of votes against 37%. François Fillon would win against her by 56% against 44%.
The survey was conducted on 7 and 8 February, after the press conference of François Fillon, on a sample of 961 people registered on the electoral lists, representative of the French population aged 18 years and over.
In another poll carried out this time by Ifop-Fiducial and broadcast also Wednesday, François Fillon loses three points in one week to 18% and would not manage to qualify for the second round, surpassed by Marine Le Pen with 26% (+2 points) and Emmanuel Macron at 21% (+1 point).
After a strong push the day after his victory at the primary organized by the PS, Benoît Hamon declined by 3.5 points, to 14.5%. Jean-Luc Mélenchon gains a slight increase with 10.5% of voting intentions (+1.5).
Francois Bayrou is credited with 5.5%, the sovereignist Nicolas Dupont-Aignan with 2% and the ecologist Yannick Jadot with 1.5%.
This Ifop-Fiducial survey was carried out online from 5 to 8 February with 1,409 people registered on the electoral roll.