According to the latest Ifop-Fiducial poll for Paris Match, iTELE and Sud-Radio, Emmanuel Macron has lost ground in the first round of the Presidential election.
After a first decline (-0.5) last Friday, the former Minister of Economy now falls by one point, to 19.5%. A fall which brings him closer to François Fillon than Marine Le Pen. With an increase of 0.5 points, Fillon, the former prime minister is now credited with 18% of the votes, meaning he would still lose to his rival, the candidate of En Marche!
But the most worrying for Emmanuel Macron seems above all to be the certain uncertainty of his constituents. Only 36% of those who say they want to vote for the former strongman of Bercy say they are sure of their choice. This is 8 points lower than last Friday, the previous score, and even 12 points lower than Thursday.
Macron and Fillon are in any case largely behind compared to Marine Le Pen. The president of the National Front is still at the top of voting intentions in the first round, where she is credited with 26% of the votes. As for Benoît Hamon, he struggled to establish a real dynamic, collecting only 14.5% of voting intentions (-0.5). In the hypothesis of his candidacy (still unofficial), Francois Bayrou would reap a share of 5.5% of voting intentions.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon would expect to get 11.5% (his best so far), Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2.5% (=), Yannick Jadot 1.5% (=) and Nathalie Arthaud and Philippe Poutou 0.5%.
In the second round, Marine Le Pen would be expected to lose against Emmanuel Macron, who would win with 62% of the votes against 38%, according to an Elabe poll for BFMTV and L’Express released on Wednesday, 8th of February.